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Ocean rates climbing, new truck tolls & air freight stays expensive

Hanna Steenstra
June 15, 2026

Ocean rates are rising and July will be higher

Rates from Asia to North Europe have increased for six weeks in a row. From July (week 27) onward, rates are expected to increase even more. (source, source).

Screenshot 2026-06-15 at 13.57.13

Source: Drewry World Container Index (Please note: This index only shows rates up until June 11.)

Why is this happening?

  • Ships still travel the long route around Africa instead of the Suez Canal.
  • Peak season has started early. Retailers are ordering stock now, earlier than usual.
  • Christmas goods from Asia start moving in August. Carriers know this and are pushing rates up now.
  • High rates affect cash flow for forwarders and importers alike.
  • Carriers are removing a large amount of capacity from the Asia to North Europe trade in the coming weeks.
  • On top of this, CMA CGM and MSC are both reporting container shortages at Asian ports, meaning fewer containers are available to load your goods in the first place.
Screenshot 2026-06-15 at 13.58.04
💡 What to do: Book as early as possible and share your shipment forecasts with us.

Only spot rates from China as of June 11

The market is tightening fast. The Drewry World Container Index surged 23% in the first week of June alone. Peak season has started earlier than usual, virtually all major carriers have introduced Peak Season Surcharges, and space is cut across the board.

What this means for you

As a result, China fixed rates for ETDs from 11 June onwards are not available anymore for many shippers on the Shypple platform. Fixed rates simply can't keep up with the daily movements in this market, making spot the only reliable way to quote accurately.


All freight will be booked on a spot basis. Our team will be in close contact to align on the best available options before anything is confirmed.

Important!


In this market, space moves fast. A delayed response can mean a lost booking. The quicker we can align, the better your chances of securing the space you need.

Peak season surcharges: what's confirmed

On top of the base rate, shipping lines are adding extra surcharges (called 'peak season surcharges' or PSS). These are separate costs per container.


Why are carriers charging these now?

  • Ships are taking the long route around Africa. That costs more time and fuel.
  • June sailings are almost fully booked. Carriers have pricing power and are using it.
  • They are controlling how many containers they release (blank sailings) to keep demand higher than supply.

In short: less space + more demand = higher prices. Carriers are pushing this as far as the market allows.

🔄 What changed since last update

  • CMA CGM — June 15 surcharge: now confirmed (source)
  • CMA CGM — new July 1 surcharge announced. A separate, higher surcharge of $1,000 per container applies from July 1 on all Asian ports to all North European ports including the UK — on top of the June 15 charge. (source)
Screenshot 2026-06-15 at 10.15.45
For the most surcharge figures, see our knowledge base article (updated weekly).

Fuel surcharges decrease (for now)

The weekly fuel surcharge on road transport in the Netherlands and Belgium have dropped slightly over the past few weeks.

Screenshot 2026-06-15 at 10.46.22
weekly fuel surcharges

Why is this happening?

Diesel prices in the Netherlands and Belgium have eased slightly in May and June, after surging sharply when the Middle East conflict began in March. Oil markets have stabilised somewhat, and that is feeding through to lower weekly fuel surcharges for road transport.

🚛 New truck tolls from 1 July

Netherlands: new toll system starts 1 July

From 1 July, Dutch trucks pay per kilometre on most motorways and a number of regional roads (Vrachtwagenheffing.nl). The old Eurovignet system disappears. Shypple will pass this cost on directly as a separate line on your invoice.


How it works for your shipments:

  • FCL (full container load): €0.21 per kilometre, calculated as the distance from port to your location and back. This is passed on at cost with no markup.
  • LCL (groupage / part loads): a flat 7.5% surcharge on your domestic transport costs. Because LCL shipments share a truck with others, a fixed percentage is the fairest way to split the cost.

From 1 September until end 2026, the government is applying a temporary 22.3% discount on the toll (Dutch government). We will pass this saving on as soon as our transport partners confirm how they are applying it.


Belgium: toll rate goes up 1 July

Belgium already has a per-kilometre truck toll system. From 1 July 2026, the rate increases from €0.21 to €0.29 per km, a 38% increase. Expect this to show up in your Belgian haulage costs from July onwards.

Air freight rates stay high despite more capacity

Air freight rates are still well above what they were a year ago — around 36% higher on routes from Asia to Europe. Some pressure is easing, but don't expect a return to pre-2026 levels anytime soon. (source)

What's keeping rates up:

  • Gulf carriers (Qatar, Emirates, Etihad) still have about 30% of their cargo capacity out of service due to the Middle East conflict.
  • Fuel costs remain more than 57% above last year, even after falling 25% between April and May.
  • Demand from the tech sector (especially AI hardware and semiconductors) is very strong and shows no sign of slowing.

Capacity is slowly returning,  airlines like Cathay Cargo say they are nearly back to pre-conflict levels. But rates are stabilising at a higher level, not dropping back to normal.
For shippers: cost forecasting is difficult right now because fuel surcharges change frequently. Factor in extra budget buffer for air shipments.

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Hanna Steenstra

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